Posts Tagged ‘Stocks’

Hot Stocks – Easy Way To Find Them

We place “consider buys” on stocks for several reasons. If the chip sector is moving higher and we see a chip maker approaching a near term resistance, that gets our blood moving! Why? Because if it “gets through” that resistance, it can squeeze a bit and really break out. But when the market is nervous, and whippy, too many times a stock crosses above the resistance, they get cold feet and down it comes. At that point you have to make a decision. do you hold it “under” where you paid or do you bail out? It’s not an easy choice.

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Many are the times you will bail out and the darned thing will reverse back up and blast higher. Then again there are the times it will simply keep falling. Is there any way to truly know the difference? No, unfortunately, we don’t care what you have read about systems, volumes, technical indicators, voodoo, or aliens, the fact is no one knows the future. So, naturally the best plan is to sell out when a breakout comes back to where you bought it. Jump out with little or no loss and live to fight again.

Over the past few weeks we have entered and then had to bail out of so many stocks we have lost count. But this is the important part and you have to remember it: We are up big on the “win/lose” column. Yes it takes work, yes it’s a
royal pain in the butt, but the fact is that active management saves the day. Look at DISH back in late October of 2001. Pull up the chart. See that messy line right around the level? Well if you draw a line across 28 from the high of the day on October 28th (at 27.99) you see 28 is like a fairly staunch resistance. So, we had a “consider buy” on it if it got back over 28, give or take a few cents.

Sure enough it opened at 28.01, stumbled a bit and pushed up to 28.53. Great right? It sure was, we were in it at 28.10. but then sure enough it reversed and down it came. When it got to 28.12, we had to make a decision. Do we hold it “under” where we pain or do we sell it flat? We held for about 10 cents and dumped it. Swell right? A 10 cent loss, after being up 40 cents. But, here is the really important part folks, it closed
the day at 27.53. Now, if it came back up, then we looked stupid. If it fell more we were heroes.

Well let me tell you something. We will generally take the “flat” or a 10 cent loss rather than holding under where we bought it “hoping’ it comes back. Sure we could have sold it at 28.50, or 28.40 or 28.30, but we didn’t. Maybe we should have, the thing is quite often we have to settle for the dimes,
but it’s not what we are after.

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Unless the day is totally in the toilet, we try and buy into the stocks we put on the consider buy list. More times than not they work out for us, but not without a bit of work. Yes we have often had to do the DISH thing, watching a small gain disappear and then bail out flat. But then we catch the right one. That’s what we are after! Unfortunately, when the market is whippy, unless you can seriously daytrade, you have to be prepared to be nimble enough to bail out when the stock you bought is falling back to where you bought it.

There are times when we do hang onto the stock even though it has violated our entry price intra day. Why do we do it? Well maybe we still had really high hopes and thought it would rebound. Maybe we felt the only reason it pulled back was because the overall market got scared over a news item or
such. Well, we went back through hundreds of trades over the years and did the math. On the ones we held onto even though they failed our original entry price, 61% went on to become winning plays. That isn’t bad at all. Would we encourage it? Not at all, we encourage you to bail. But that said, we only put out plays we feel have a real shot at moving higher, and the numbers back that up. Even though they failed the initial buy in price, 61% still became winners down the road.

Why didn’t we hold onto DISH? The day was poor at best, there were big earnings after hours that could have put the market in a bad mood if they were poor and we saw them picking away at GE, IBM etc. When the leaders are getting plucked, there is always the chance of a big sell off. We bailed flat and moved on. When you are looking at a stock that has pulled back to where you entered it, please take all things into consideration.

How is the overall market acting? Is there a bad headline floating around? Is the mid East erupting? Has gold or oil shot higher? Did someone just warn? When you have the answers to these questions, then you can make a better judgment about whether you want to hold onto a falling stock, or bail out. More times than not its still best to bail, but occasionally you may decide the stock is falling and its not the stocks fault.

Suppose you see a high volume breakout and everything looks great. The resistance line was 50 and you get in at 50.15 and soon its at 50.60. Then it starts fading. You notice the DOW was up 80 and now its up 40, 30 20.
Something happened. Maybe a program trade, maybe a profits warning, maybe a fight in the mid East. In a situation like that, especially if the breakout came with volume, we’d tend to hang onto it even if it failed 50.15, but we wouldn’t let it fail 50, the original breakout line. Why? Because the “stock” didn’t do anything wrong, some outside influence drove
the market lower and took our stock with it. We would hold it under our buy in price, but not the breakout price. If the short sellers see it couldn’t hold the breakout, they might step up their shorting and drive it lower.

No, we’d probably bail at 49.95 or so if we could. So, as you see, there is no cut and dry answer, and the situation will determine your best course of events. We hope that helps you make good decisions in the future!

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Question by Parker T: Why don’t people buy stocks near Thanksgiving, then sell them after Christmas, when the value has increased?
Is it that simple, or does the value have to do with past years?

Best answer:

Answer by Boston
You have a point.

Add your own answer in the comments!

Stocks and Oil

Jupiter, Fla. (PRWEB) May 25, 2008

Jack Crooks takes a closer look at the stock market and crude oil. Mr. Crooks discusses how both of these markets affect the dollar.

Two markets that reflect risk are the stock market and crude oil. The stock market because it’s the quintessential risk asset class. And crude because higher prices threaten economic growth and add to inflation expectations.

Both of these markets can greatly affect the U.S. dollar. Mr. Crooks further explains what this risk correlation means for the dollar going forward.

The dollar, more than any other currency lately, has been the one most negatively impacted by market risks such as deterioration in the credit market or trouble for the U.S. economy. This ebbing and flowing of market risk can be seen by observing the price action in the stock market. In fact, the dollar and stocks are now moving in lock step. When stocks go up, the dollar goes up. But that also means when the stock market goes down, the dollar is likely to do the same. And the stock market is now at a critical juncture. The Dow Transport Average recently made a new high. However, this high was not confirmed by a new high in the Dow Industrials. This is what is called a Dow Theory non-confirmation setup. It appears the Dow Industrials could be turning down in a big way.

Should the stock market break down, investors will get nervous again. And that could mean bad things for the dollar. It likely means the dollar will test its old lows. What’s more, the recent action in crude oil seems to agree with that scenario. When oil goes up, the buck goes down.

Many of the so-called experts didn’t think it would go this high. But yesterday, Crooks ran the numbers on the movement of crude since May 2000, and here’s what he found:

    First, in dollar terms, crude has jumped 330% in price since 2000.
    Second, in euro terms, it’s up just 155%.
    Third, in terms of gold, crude oil has only gone up 35% since 2000. The numbers show that it now takes 0.140 ounces of gold to buy one barrel of oil, whereas it only took 0.104 ounces back in 2000.

“This means that people holding dollars have felt the spike in oil far more than people holding euros or gold. So, if this trend continues in commodities and the stock market breaks down, new lows in the dollar cannot be ruled out,” Crooks states.

To read this issue online, please visit:

http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/Issues.aspx?NewsletterEntryId=1813

About JACK CROOKS & MONEY AND MARKETS     

John (Jack) Crooks is the founder and president of Black Swan Capital, an independent advisory firm specializing in foreign exchange and currency markets investing for retail and institutional clients. A seasoned financial advisory with nearly 20 years of investment experience, Mr. Crooks uses both quantitative and qualitative approaches to determine the fundamental driving force(s) behind the movement of the currency, capital, and commodities markets. He is the editor of Weiss Research’s latest investment offerings, World Currency Alert and World Currency Options, which were launched in August 2007.

Mr. Crooks also founded Ross International Asset Management, a discretionary money management firm specializing in global stock, bond, and currency asset management for retail clients. Previously, he was general manager of Plexus Trading, where he specialized in currency futures and commodities trading. During his successful career, Mr. Crooks served as chief currency and futures strategist of M2 Futures Inc., an investment boutique headquartered in Chicago, as well as vice president of Global Strategic Research for an international investment boutique, where he was responsible for providing daily advice and global strategy analysis.

Prior to entering the investment arena, Mr. Crooks held various corporate finance positions. He has written extensively on the subject of global currencies and international economics and has been published in Asian Times, Futures Magazine, Barron’s, Bloomberg, Dow Jones Newswire, and across many financial websites. He has also appeared on Bloomberg TV and CNBC.

Mr. Crooks holds a bachelor’s degree in finance from Florida State University and a master’s in business administration from the University of North Texas.

Money and Markets (http://www.moneyandmarkets.com) is a free daily investment newsletter from Dr. Martin Weiss and Weiss Research analysts offering the latest investing news and financial insights for the stock market, including tips and advice on investing in gold, energy and oil. Weiss Research, Inc. is located in Jupiter, Florida. For more information about our editors, or to set up an interview, please contact Jennifer Moran at 561-627-3300 or visit http://www.moneyandmarkets.com.

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Vocus, PRWeb, and Publicity Wire are trademarks or registered trademarks of Vocus, Inc. or Vocus PRW Holdings, LLC.

Related Stocking Felt Press Releases

Pick Good Penny Stocks and Steer Clear of Fraud

Penny stocks which qualify nearly as good penny stocks change everyday. Anytime you find a static listing of so-known as good penny stocks in a publication, on a weblog or in a stock trading discussion board, try to be very skeptical. If you happen to actually desire a record of scorching penny stocks, it’s essential create your own list. The rest is asking to be exploited.

 

The actual problem in penny stock buying and selling is knowing that there might be some value in objects like a penny stock publication or an application which anticipates breaking stocks. However, these ought to only be utilized as hints and ideas, not as your supply for your trading decisions.

 

In lots of circumstances, penny stock newsletters are a part of a pump and dump scheme or no less than a part of promoted stocks. This means they’re attempting to artificially hype a stock to briefly enhance its worth whereas they hold it. As quickly as it’s pumped, they dump it for a profit. You would possibly think you can simply take part on the fun and dump it as soon as it rises, too. In the event you suppose that, than you have not really traded with penny stocks.

 

Is it potential for individuals to essentially make a considerable revenue using Penny Stocks, even to develop into millionaires? Actually there are some people who make big quantities of money with stocks, ordinary people who trade in their own time perhaps as a hobby moderately than as a professional trader. It is extremely seemingly nonetheless that although they started on penny stocks they eventually moved up to different doubtlessly extra profitable stocks using larger sums of cash once they felt they were more skilled, and had more money to spend. Of course the question then turns into how do you start making earnings rapidly in penny stocks with the least risk?

 

These micro cap stocks usually lack liquidity. That means they are often hard to sell. It is not just a matter of telling your broker to execute the sell and it just happens. Typically your penny stock will sit there fully unsold until you alter the “ask” worth to one thing lower. And within the case of a pump and dump, by the time you manage to execute the promote it’s most likely too late.

 

However, that doesn’t imply you should not try following together with a penny stock e-newsletter’s solutions whilst you research the market and follow with paper buying and selling (buying and selling with out money). Hopefully the newsletter will provide some classes outside of just picks (if they don’t, be extremely skeptical). And over time you could develop an understanding for why some picks profited while others didn’t.

 

So watch out for the hype and beware of the fraud. Use these various instruments to raised your information and inform your decisions. However it is important that you simply create your individual record of good penny stocks by doing your personal due diligence.

Hot on the heels of botching a case and getting two stars, I felt real good about getting everything right in this case on the first try. Better yet, the culprit is none other than Brian Krause, whom I know as Leo from Charmed. I guess he couldn’t Charm his way out of this one… Herp derp.
Video Rating: 5 / 5

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Question by Scorpio P: Witch undervalued stocks are expected to pop before xmas?
I was looking for a few movers so that I can buy em for my portfolio challange at cnbc.com. So please tell me what stocks that are undervalued in your opinion are going to gain in value before xmas?

Best answer:

Answer by Doctor Deth
you can’t predict short term “pops” in the stock market – stock are LONG TERM investment vehicles

What do you think? Answer below!

Question by Penny Lane: Stocks that go up during Christmas/Good Stocks to buy now?
What are some good good stocks to buy now….bullish ones……and for Christmas…

Best answer:

Answer by gododjgjodjod
FordM (Ford Motors) is a good one. Because lots of people go out and buy cars during the Christmas season with all the good “end of the year” and such. Good Luck!!

Add your own answer in the comments!